The U.S. Treasury yield curve, one of the most reliable signals of recession, is flashing red again. As of March 2025, the spread between the 10-year and 2-year Treasury yields remains inverted, a ...

Recession talk is back, and the smartest response is to watch the data and quietly fortify your finances before headlines ...

The yield curve has inverted before every US recession for the past 50 years.

The stock market is signaling an impending recession; consider shifting investments to short-term Treasury bills with a current interest rate of 4.30%. Numerous indicators, including an inverted yield ...

A short question: How do I ignore the noise in the markets? A recession has been predicted for the past several years, but the sky has not fallen (yet). Even with a slew of positive economic news, I ...

The disconnect between hard data (which capture measurable performance of the economy and are backward-looking) and soft data (which are typically based on sentiment and expectations and are often ...

SANTA ANA, Calif. — Consumers and corporate chieftains alike should check an economic flare the bond market sent up on Tuesday. Traders on Tuesday demanded higher yields on U.S. Treasury bonds ...

Economists often use imperfect historical information to form opinions about the economy’s direction. We often don’t know we’re in a recession until it’s well underway—typically, the National Bureau ...